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China Android Cellphones Operating Systems

Is Huawei Pushing Forward With an Ambitious Plan to Dethrone Android? (forbes.com) 152

Forbes recently published this article by author/speaker Nina Xiang, who reports that Huawei is pushing forward with "an amibitious plan to dethrone Android." Hundreds of technical experts from many of China's biggest state-owned and private companies, including the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), China Telecom, Meituan, and Baidu, all gathered in Beijing last month. The purpose behind the meeting was for their staff to receive training so they could be certified as developers on Huawei's Harmony Operation System (OS).

While most observers were looking the other way, Huawei has been quietly building an independent Chinese operating system that isn't subject to U.S. sanctions. In the four years after the telecom giant was banned from using Google apps, the Shenzhen-based company has been making significant strides toward achieving its long-term goal: To dethrone Android and make its HarmonyOS the default operating system in China.

Looking at the data for smartphone sales in China shows that HarmonyOS had the third-largest share with 10% in the second quarter of 2023, thanks to a strong resurgence in sales of Huawei smartphones. Although it's still well below Android's dominant 72%, it's not far from iOS's 17%... Huawei already says more than 700 million devices (including phones, smart devices, computers, and others) were equipped with HarmonyOS as of August this year, with over 2.2 million developers actively building within the ecosystem...

A key moment will come next year, when Huawei says HarmonyOS will no longer be compatible with Android apps.

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Is Huawei Pushing Forward With an Ambitious Plan to Dethrone Android?

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  • Google has pushed back against China's demands so they have their own app store.

    It's a short walk from there to having a different OS, since China will happily ban products or services. They'll just claim Android is spying on everyone, which is probably only true for them in the sense that their localized Android is full of their own government spyware, and that for national security reasons it must be removed.

    • by Entrope ( 68843 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @12:10PM (#64087221) Homepage

      And for the reason you mention in your second paragraph, it's ludicrous for TFS to suggest that a Chinese OS will "dethrone" Android anywhere outside of the CCP's control. No one will be able to trust it, so they will only use it if they are forced to.

      • And for the reason you mention in your second paragraph, it's ludicrous for TFS to suggest that a Chinese OS will "dethrone" Android anywhere outside of the CCP's control. No one will be able to trust it, so they will only use it if they are forced to.

        Nobody will trust it? That's a bold statement. Have you ever even been in Asia? I don't know about Huawei dethroning Android, I kind of doubt that's going to be very easy. However, Chinese manufacturers like Xiaomi and Oppo have massive and steadily growing market share over there (and both have basically forked Android btw.) and all three make pretty damn nice phones at lower prices than even the Koreans. PRC based phone makers have effectively pushed everybody out of the Asian market except Apple and Sams [statcounter.com]

        • by Moryath ( 553296 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @02:21PM (#64087489)

          hysterically paranoid ... about Chinese electronics somehow infecting them with communist cooties

          You misspelled "realistically observant of patterns of PRC behavior [csoonline.com]."

          The CCP/PRC have a long and aggressive history of attacks not just on other governments, but also against businesses [csis.org] in the realm of corporate [foreignpolicy.com] espionage to steal technology and information [fbi.gov] to be given to Chinese companies (there's no such thing as an "independent" business from the CCP).

          We have divided the publicly know incidents into categories of military, political, and commercial espionage, and covert efforts to influence the target nation’s politics. These categories are not hard and fast, since in many cases, an incident showed that Chinese collectors obtained information of both commercial and military value. A few cases reflect what seem to be global campaigns aimed at commercial, military and government targets in many countries and lasting for years. It should be noted that the incidents of Chinese espionage far outnumber those by any other country, even Russia.

      • by short ( 66530 )
        How anyone can trust Android? It is built by just another commercial company. AOSP is what one can trust as I build it myself.
      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        According to Slashdot, you can't trust Android or iOS either. The both rape your privacy, especially Android. Everything you look at, everywhere you go, even things you say in earshot of your phone, all sent to Google and who knows who else.

        In which case you are arguably better off with the CCP, since they can't sell the data to US companies, ruin your credit rating, get you swept up in a broad police warrant...

        Of course I don't believe that, but the disconnect on Slashdot is interesting.

    • by Z00L00K ( 682162 )

      Everyone spies - just accept it and pick your master.

  • Xiaomi is pushing also its own o/s. Wondering whether Google and Samsung will respond to the challenge.

    • by Somervillain ( 4719341 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @12:53PM (#64087269)

      Xiaomi is pushing also its own o/s. Wondering whether Google and Samsung will respond to the challenge.

      Should they bother? China's population is in collapse and as things get worse, I would expect more and more of their educated and talented to flee for greener pastures. It's going to be a very long time where anyone would have a reason to buy a Harmony OS phone other than it was the only option available and they were stuck in mainland China.

      If I were a mobile device CEO, I would focus on other emerging markets, like India, Latin America, and Africa as well as compete in established markets like Europe/North-America, Australia, etc.

      The notion of a market artificially isolated to one country is not new...but to my knowledge, it has never really produced anything as complicated as a mobile OS that could compete with its international peers. For starters, they have no incentive to do a decent job. If Harmony OS is the only game in town, what is motivating them to put effort into both developing new features and more importantly patching existing bugs?...optimistically, all they would do is enough to motivate people to replace their phones. As folks in the software industry know, making software is a lot more expensive than the initial release. You're constantly patching and securing and troubleshooting poorly written vague bug reports. It's expensive and not fun and certainly not for the feint of heart.

      It is a shame China can't behave. Everyone's life would be better if they were fully participating in the market instead of building their own technical hermit kingdom for themselves and presumably North Korea.

      • by _merlin ( 160982 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @01:14PM (#64087307) Homepage Journal

        It is a shame China can't behave. Everyone's life would be better if they were fully participating in the market instead of building their own technical hermit kingdom for themselves and presumably North Korea.

        So you impose sanctions restricting what Chinese companies buy, starting with Xeon CPUs, then semiconductor fab equipment, and now AI chips. You impose sanctions restricting Chinese companies' access to global markets, starting with 5G cellular technology, and becoming increasingly arbitrary. Then when Chinese companies start to build their own technology ecosystem, you complain that "China can't behave".

        Seriously, what do you expect to happen? Did you think they wouldn't look for ways to retaliate? Did you think they were buying imported CPUs because they're too stupid to build their own? Do you just not think at all? It's like you believe China should "know their place" and accept the inherent superiority you seem to think you possess.

        • The sanctions are for IP theft and generally being scum bags beyond internationally acceptable levels of scumbaggery.

          If they cut it out there'd be no sanctions and they'd be welcome as a decent member of the international community.

          They're the only major country with zero allies. Unless you count the parasitic North Korean basket case. Why do they have no allies? Because they're so shitty to everyone else they make the other meh options look really good.

          They brought it on themselves with their own behavi

      • by hey! ( 33014 )

        Despite China's catastrophically low fertility rate (1.2 births/woman) and serious sex imbalance in the prime childbearing years, China's population isn't going to *collapse*. It's going to decline very gradually from about 1.4 billion at present to about 1 billion in 2100, assuming nothing else changes. In that year it will still be about 3x the size of the US. We're talking about a 28% reduction in population *over eighty years*, which on a decade to decade basis will feel more like stagnation than col

        • So China has a low birthrate and rapidly aging population. First of all, the 1.4 billion assumes accurate statistics from China and they're famous for being inaccurate. Secondly, the concern is the rapidly aging population. A greater share of their population will be retired and the children will not have a lot of money to buy toys if they're caring for their kids and parents. Senior citizens are kind of famous for not caring about phones too much, so not a great market.

          As far as your ideas that the
      • Should they bother? China's population is in collapse and as things get worse, I would expect more and more of their educated and talented to flee for greener pastures.

        Even if their population is in decline, China is big enough that it will remain a distant second population wise and a world power for the foreseeable future.

        • Should they bother? China's population is in collapse and as things get worse, I would expect more and more of their educated and talented to flee for greener pastures.

          Even if their population is in decline, China is big enough that it will remain a distant second population wise and a world power for the foreseeable future.

          The remaining population is pretty old. Every major company is diversifying their supply chain in order to prepare to pull out of China if they need to. When a country is in decline, their best and brightest tend to leave. They also have a massive gender imbalance and Chinese women are usually desired more overseas than their male counterparts. So you're a Chinese woman...you can find a Chinese husband who expects you to work, care for his parents, do all the childcare and all the housework....or you ca

    • by Z00L00K ( 682162 )

      The Samsung variant of Android is almost a different OS.

    • Then it would be wise for both Xiaomi and Huawei to collaborate on a shared OS, that would be greater than the sum of its parts. An OS with 15% market share is bigger that two, one with 10% and another with 5%, because it has better access to apps and hardware support.

  • users will be spied on by the Chinese government. Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose.

  • They'll have not Android, but Hongqi Anzhuo instead?

  • I for one, would be interested in a technical review of HarmonyOS.
    • by jon3k ( 691256 )
      It's (at least) two different operating systems under the HarmonyOS banner designed to "work seamlessly together." On smartphones it's just a fork of Android so I don't think a technical deep dive would really be that interesting.
  • by hdyoung ( 5182939 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @12:17PM (#64087227)
    Absolutely chilling. It was several decades ago, but right about this level of economic development is when Russia tried to do two things: 1) build their own competitive chips, at the time it was Intel on top and b) build their own state-controlled OS, at the time it was a windows knockoff.

    They managed tech demos but the projects ultimately failed miserably.

    Between Xi purging his own party of any threats to himself, and also purging all the top successful businessmen, and breaking up the best companies and handing control over to friends and family, and now this? It’s like I’m watching a rerun of a netflix series titled “Russia Inc” and season 2 is a complete rehash of season 1. The cast and budget are 5 times bigger, but there isn’t a single new plot point.

    I sincerely hope that China winds up a better country than Russia. I really do. Russia is permanently caught in the middle income trap, and their elites simply won’t allow the country to develop any further because it means they lose control. They’ve reached this bad equilibrium point where anyone who demonstrates success above a certain level gets liquidated and suppressed by the state, and I’m seriously worried that China is headed down the same path. Which makes me kind of sad. Think of the powerhouse they would be if they had become a billion-strong capitalist democracy instead of a state-controlled oligarchy with an Emperor.
    • Re: (Score:2, Flamebait)

      by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

      Always interesting to see more of the Fukuyama adherents who genuinely believe that geography doesn't matter, history is over, Anglo culture won and is destined to rule everywhere and it's all about consumerism. Even in the world that has so obviously demonstrated this ideology to be a blip on the radar of history, rapidly fading away.

      China's culture is far older than any of the Western cultures, and it will very likely be here long after ours are gone. Naive babble by Anglo children that they have a superi

      • by Anubis350 ( 772791 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @12:41PM (#64087259)
        Are you seriously trying to claim that the modern capitalist/authoritarian hybrid with communist trappings that is the current PROC is the old cultural heritage of China? How much kool aid have you drunk?
      • Who said anything about Anglo, or the west? This is about capitalism and democracy performing measurably, numerically, demonstrably better than oligarchies, kingdoms and emperor-based systems. And, despite what Tucker Carlson and all the white supremecists would like to claim, we didn’t invent democracy. That started with the Greeks, and back then they were decidedly brown-skinned. Take one honest look at their statues and you realize that the only thing pasty white was the marble they used for carvin
        • by _merlin ( 160982 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @01:24PM (#64087327) Homepage Journal

          This is about capitalism and democracy performing measurably, numerically, demonstrably better than oligarchies, kingdoms and emperor-based systems.

          Capitalism has only performed well for a short period on a historical timescale, and it seems to be burning itself out. Wealth inequality is increasing in major Western societies, particularly the US. Increases in productivity are not benefiting the majority of workers. People are working more hours while there hasn't been real wage growth in decades.

          Meanwhile, people are still being lifted out of poverty in China as their economy grows.

          And, despite what Tucker Carlson and all the white supremecists would like to claim, we didnâ(TM)t invent democracy. That started with the Greeks, and back then they were decidedly brown-skinned.

          Athens is called the birthplace of democracy, but you wouldn't recognise it as the same thing as what's called democracy today. It was a form of direct democracy, and voting was restricted to males over the age of 30 who had performed military service (i.e. no concept of universal suffrage at all). They also had ostracism as a way of holding public officials at least somewhat accountable.

          The other thing that people neglect to mention is that Athenian democracy was never very stable. Democracy always collapsed before too long. Athens was always more stable and prosperous under tyranny than it was under democracy.

          • by hdyoung ( 5182939 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @01:46PM (#64087379)
            I think youre wrong about capitalism burning itself out. There’s a lot of chatter about that, but meanwhile the capitalisms seem to stay at the front of the pack overall.

            Same goes for the wealth inequality thing. It makes for great click-bait “capitalism dying cause of wealth inequality”. Read the actual scholarly articles and the picture is messy. Non-capitalisms aren’t exactly paragons of equality, are they?

            You make a valid point that Greek democracy was rough, and that modern capitalist democracy is a relatively new invention. Very true, but some modern capitalist democracies are pushing 300 years and still going (overall) strong. How old do you have to be before people stop considering you a child? 300 years is getting up there..
          • by PPH ( 736903 )

            Capitalism has only performed well for a short period on a historical timescale, and it seems to be burning itself out.

            That wasn't real capitalism. Real capitalism has never been tried.

          • Capitalism has only performed well for a short period on a historical timescale, and it seems to be burning itself out.

            Nonsense. It emerged in 16th century when trade started to replace farming. And most economies are mixed economies combining free private business with state intervention. See John Maynard Keynes.

          • by piojo ( 995934 )

            Capitalism has only performed well for a short period on a historical timescale, and it seems to be burning itself out. Wealth inequality is increasing in major Western societies, particularly the US. Increases in productivity are not benefiting the majority of workers. People are working more hours while there hasn't been real wage growth in decades.

            Meanwhile, people are still being lifted out of poverty in China as their economy grows.

            If you want to talk about historical timescales, it would make sense to note that centrally planned economics killed more than 10% of the populace in 1959-1961 (the Great Chinese Famine). They haven't yet prospered enough to balance out that little screw-up. And the American Experiment has been going for a while, though it certainly does seem to be declining. But let's see.

        • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

          Anglo isn't a race, it's a culture. It would be nice if you stopped projecting your extreme racial prejudices on others.

    • Except the situations are not similar at all, at the time Russia was in massive economic problems and were flailing at the wind, it was actually a huge missed opportunity by the US as they could have reached out a hand to them instead of trying to stomp harder on their neck. China has the money and economy to succeed where Russia could not, but interestingly the US is doing the same moronic approach of stomp harder on the neck hoping it all comes out good.
  • I wonder why Firefox OS didn't succeed. Released too soon? Undermined by Google? The web (HTTPS/HTML5/CSS/Javascript) is the only universal User Interface that runs on all decently powered display devices, including Android and iOS devices.
    • Very little advertising, very little hardware supported it and not enough apps available. Firefox OS had no chance to succeed.

  • To beat Android in the global market they'd need a vastly superior system or a somewhat better one at a significantly lower price.

    I'm not an Android fan (tried it twice, not my thing) but my Android friends and family are fanatical about it. Except at the low end super price sensitive side of the market, none would seriously consider switching.

    There is no point in comparing against iPhone. It's like saying Honda sells more cars than Ferrari therefore Honda is better somehow. iPhone's user base is happily

    • naw, they just have to be better than Google's android, maybe for the US market make them without datamining & telemetry, ship the phones with F-Droid.org pre-installed so users can see there are other choices for software other than an iphone with apple or android with google

      do you think China could beat google in a OS war on android phones?
      • I doubt the typical user knows or cares they're being spied on. I don't see that as a big differentiator and how could they trust this other phone isn't spying on them? The one thing all consumers know universally is they're being lied to (for any and every product from every manufacturer of anything). It's expected. So a promise of "we don't spy on you" will fall flat.

        Consumers want the thing they want for the cheapest price they can get it for. Privacy isn't high on the check list or desires, sadly.

        A

      • >"do you think China could beat google in a OS war on android phones?"

        Not ones sold in THIS country (US), for sure. I have a hard enough time trusting Google at all. I am certainly not going to run some Communist-state-sponsored/controlled OS on MY devices. I have a feeling I am in the great majority with that view. As for other countries, I don't know, but I suspect most Western ones will feel the same.

        Those in China probably won't have a choice at some point. Points right back to "Red Flag Linux."

  • When the US imposes embargoes right and left, right and left are forced to develop their own technologies, eventually leaving the US behind because US stuff isn't needed anymore.

    China is building its own mobile ecosystem thing, its own AI tech. Russia is building its own CPU manufacturing industry. They're not quite there yet but they will be eventually.

    As for US allies, don't think for a minute they're not taking stock of how the US is able to bully other countries around at will: they too are trying to loosen their dependence on US tech, albeit more quietly.

    What did Trump think would happen when he launched his boneheaded worldwide embargo program? All he did was hasten the US' slide into irrelevance.

    • by ratbag ( 65209 )

      This. I studied (at a trivial level) economics at school back in 1986 and it was already well-understood that protectionism is bad for the country doing it. Yet successive governments in so-called civilized countries keep on doing it because it wins votes and appeals to lowest common denominator bases. See also printing money instead of hitting the reset button or at least allowing some short-term suffering for the sake of long-term stability.

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      Protectionism is a sign of desperation. Because too many people are badly educated and have no clue about history, it can often be sold as "patriotism" and "protecting our workers". That is not what it does in the slightly longer run. The only way to stay competitive when the competition is getting stronger is to get your act together and fix your own problems. Protectionism makes this just a lot harder a few years down the road and much more likely to fail.

  • by zenlessyank ( 748553 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @02:26PM (#64087501)

    Backing them.

    Fuck Apple.

    • Why on earth would they need Apple or Apple's money? They didn't need it when they rose from nowhere in 2012 to almost take the crown off Samsung in 2020-something... In 2012 Xiaomi was heralded as the rising star. Yet Huawei has the full stack from network infrastructure all the way to handsets, including their own silicon designs... They have Chinese state sponsorship written all over, not Apple.
      • I guess you are unfamiliar with the China-Apple relationship. Or you know and are just a useless Apple sympathizer. Either way, Fuck Apple again.

        • I have no sympathy for Apple, and if by China-Apple relationship you mean Apple giving in to the cccp wishes, I still think it's far off to suspect Apple put money into Huawei. Got any link supporting that claim?
  • by noshellswill ( 598066 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @02:49PM (#64087547)
    Their own  self-developed OS ? Good for the Chinese. Every country should use the rule:  use-it-here ... make-it-here.  True for cars and clothes and autos ( TR6 is an exception of-course & womens  Italian shoes.)  Not the cheapest solution, not the most advanced tek solution , not the most manageable solution. BUT ... the most robust, adaptive, humane , self-replicating  environment for each nation . Keeps the tek and the power and the money local. Shared resources required? Pay the engineers  to set required bounds and   bean-counters can fight-it-out from there. 
  • A key moment will come next year, when Huawei says HarmonyOS will no longer be compatible with Android apps.

    How harmonious. /s :-)

  • by sonicmerlin ( 1505111 ) on Sunday December 17, 2023 @04:51PM (#64087685)

    Well as long as they prioritize the UI thread from its ground up construction it won’t lag the way android does on weaker hardware. Can’t stand how poor of a performer it is. Even Microsoft’s windows phone 7 and 8 was silky smooth on single core hardware.

  • I for one welcome the new distro wars.

    This is good news as it will bring more variety and Android will no longer but such an attractive attack surface.

  • They should make an OS that's compatible with both Apple and Android, rather than create a walled garden.
    I run DOS, Windows 3.1, XP and 10 under Linux in various VMs.

  • My previous phone was a Huawei P20 and I loved it: good hardware, good software, good battery and a decent price. But I have no intention to even try a HarmonyOS device because the apps I want and need aren't there. And they won't be there, as the apps developed in the Western word aren't allowed to go there. On HarmonyOS you have to live either with worse replacement apps (like Petal Maps instead of Google Maps) or install first party apps from shady 3-rd party sources and live with compatibility issues.

  • ...if there are a number of major competing OS' where none has hegemonic power over users, OEMs, & software developers like Android or iOS. Let's have a mixed market & lots of cross-platform compatibility & platform agnosticism. Who knows, that could spell the death of web apps & that'd be no bad thing.

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