One Final Manufacturing Run of Touchpads 221
Accepted on the first attempt, lochnessie writes "HP has announced a limited manufacturing run of Touchpads to be available in the next few weeks. The HP employee making the announcement posted 'I think it's safe to say we were pleasantly surprised by the response' to their massively discounted, sold-at-a-huge-loss tablet."
But no preordres or email notification. (Score:2)
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HP has a new notice up on their website intimating that they received a huge number of sign-ups for that notice. I'm not sure the small number of Touchpads still in the pipeline will be enough to satisfy all of that interest. I'd keep a close eye on your email over the next few weeks and be ready to jump right on that.
Fingers crossed though. I too would really like to get my paws on one.
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So one guy with a thousand fake names will get the entire run and sell them all off for $300-$400 a shot on eBay. Good, good, glad to see the system works.
Given that HP couldn't sell them at all until they dropped the price to $99... your scenario seems pretty unlikely.
I won't be surprised if someone tries to do it - but they're going to get stuck with a lot of inventory. The interest just isn't there.
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There could be people regretting not getting one at $99, and at $200, it is still a very cheap tablet in comparison to others, especially since you'll likely be able to put Android on it.
MK-cuckoo (Score:2)
you read it here first...
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I'd believe it if they were selling them for BitCoins.
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Yeah, now he only has to make the Android start without injecting the kernel, make it access the touchscreen, oh and let it use the hardware accelerated graphics. But I'm sure that's the easy part, yes ?
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Maybe they should just make them (Score:2, Insightful)
Of course, I was against their pulling out of the PC and handheld markets. I was also against their buying Compaq to begin with. The more players out there, the more competition and innovation. With fewer players, we'll see a reduction
Re:Maybe they should just make them (Score:5, Insightful)
if there's demand for your product, keep making it.
I'm not sure that works if the reason for the demand is that you're selling it at a huge loss without any business model to recoup the loss.
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Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)
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Or sell them for $300, make a small loss from each one, build a large installed base, and charge 30% for apps sold through your store. If people spend an average of $60 on apps, you've broken even. If they spend more, you've made a profit. Even if they spend less on the first generation, you encourage app development by having a large base of potential customers. And the cost of the components only has to drop by a few percent before you're making a profit anyway.
Oh, and if you think putting Android
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"... but the one that hits those price points with decent specs WILL take a HUGE chunk of the market, mark my words."
That price point AND decent specs? Want a pony to go with?
People pull numbers out of their... ah... the air, and then bitch because manufacturers don't hit their imaginary price points. It's like saying a Ferrari that cost $10,000 with decent specs WILL take a HUGE chunk of the market, mark my words!!!
That said, Amazon will do just that. Unfortunately, they're the only ones who can, since an
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Re:Maybe they should just make them (Score:4, Informative)
First, look at the iSuppli BOM...
http://www.isuppli.com/Teardowns/News/Pages/HP-TouchPad-Carries-$318-Bill-of-Materials.aspx [isuppli.com]
The display is $69. The Touch Screen is $63. $45 for 32GB NAND. $26 for DRAM. $20 for the dual-core processor. $12 for power management. $8 for sensors. $5.50 for WiFi. $30 for the case, connectors, PCB, etc.. $20 for the battery. $5 for box and contents. $10 for manufacturing.
You're right in that there's not one single component that would kill those numbers... IT"S ALL OF THEM ADDED UP TOGETHER.
Your wonderful set of suggestions dropped the BOM down to $273. How many more corners and features are you going to have to cut to hit your numbers? And once you do, is the POS even worth buying? A plastic 5" tablet with an anemic processor, half the RAM needed to do anything, and no storage? Right. Ask Dell how well the Streak 5 sold...
(Oh yeah, add SD slot hardware and a controller chip to your BOM.)
And THAT'S only the BOM. Then it has to be shipped. Distributed. There's R&D, engineering, and development costs. Admin. Marketing. Patents, licensing, and legal. Recouping $1.2 billion in acquisition costs. Costs. Costs, and more costs. And that's before it's even in a store and the retailer marks it up yet again by another 10%. Then there are returns, damaged goods, shrinkage, and demo units.
30% profit? In your dreams. People look at the BOM and COGS and think, "Damn. They're making out like bandits."
Get a clue. To make ANY money selling a tablet at $149, your BOM would have to be less than $50. Good luck hitting that price point.
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Probably they have stockpiles of things like cases or screens or other components that they want to run down. If the cost of assembling the parts into tablets is less than the $99 they can get for them (which it almost certainly is) - then it may just be cheaper to assemble and sell them rather than scrapping all of those parts.
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Yes, they cut losses on components in inventory with no other use to HP than the tablet (surplus component markdowns are often 90-99%) and HP gets some really good advertising value and some desperately needed goodwill as a bonus.
Re:Maybe they should just make them (Score:5, Insightful)
Then why would you make another run at a loss after you were sold out?
Couple of potential reasons that aren't completely stupid:
1: Stockpile of unassembled / partly assembled components that they couldn't find some other company to buy in the last couple of weeks. and
2: Expensive to exit contract(s) with one or more companies at some levels of the manufacturing layers (component suppliers, final assembly provider).
Re:Maybe they should just make them (Score:5, Insightful)
However, this does prove EXACTLY how stupid HP is, if they killed it so quickly without knowing about 1 or 2 (whichever it was, if not both.) As for being "stunned" at the response--really? I mean, they got lukewarm reviews, but everyone said they were decent devices, and HP could have EASILY sold all of their stock at about $249 each*, and not looked quite so much like chickens with their heads cut off while doing so. The only message the $99 price sent was "We want out of this fucking business TODAY."
And in case anyone is wondering why HP is doing what they're doing, read this. [wsj.com] Very nice one-page summary from the Wall Street Journal.
* $499: no sales. $449: no sales. $399: no sales. $99: SOLD OUT IN HOURS. Maybe there's a reasonable (though still not profitable) middle ground there somewhere...
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Then why would you make another run at a loss after you were sold out?
Contracts probably. If HP ordered one million Touchpads, and they received 900,000 so far, the manufacturer might not let them off the hook.
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Re:Maybe they should just make them (Score:4, Interesting)
There is demand because of the discount, not because of the value.
At an 80%+ discount and $100, its in the impulse buy range for a lot of people, no matter if it ends up being a useful device or not. Hell, I've got a drawer full of discounted crap in that price range.
I wouldn't assume a tablet at $250 or $300 would sell even remotely like $100... and if it was always $100, it also wouldn't have sold like that.
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I hear ya....Hell, I've pissed away $100+ easily on a good night of drinking out and about town. I'd lay that down on a $99 tablet...especially with news that the cyanogen folks were working to get it to install on these units.
$99 is definitely impulse buy for many people....
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Maybe you are in the minority. I am broke and millions of others are too and would be sweating bullets if I blew $100 so carelessly.
Billy Gates, did you give away all your money already?
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Marketing 101 maybe but Marketing 510 no.
Selling your product at a loss or break even isn't going to help. Because it will mark your brand name as the cheap product. At the low price there will be more buyers yes. However you cant make up a loss by selling in bulk.
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Sell it at $300 and a tiny loss, continue to improve the software (for the love of god how much behind the scenes logging do you really need!?) and as soon as possible put out a hardware revision that drops you below $250 for the bill of materials plus assembly. Killing production is killing the entire platform and, having recently gotten my $99 touchpad, I'd say the platform (with a half dozen patches and tweaks) is actually very strong.
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This is all a plan.. Like the Hudsucker Proxy!
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This is all a plan.. Like the Hudsucker Proxy!
So the Touchpad is for, you know, kids?
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First, there's a whole team of engineers that need to eat. They build the stuff, design it, and write the software for it. The platform has to grow for people to buy into it. Look, for example, at the huge numbers of people waiting to buy Android 2.1 tablets...
Second, there's the minor matter of recouping 1.2 BILLION dollars.
Third, the only good way for a seller that's not doing huge numbers to get the BOM down to $250 is to wait for the screen and processor and so on to come down, which happens when better
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What they SHOULD do is move WebOS into their Enterprise division, and work on special-purpose designs and custom solutions for various industries, and forget trying to out-Apple Apple.
I'm rather surprised they didn't go this route. HP has a reasonably large presence in the medical field, high end monitoring systems and such. It would be fairly easy to gin up a couple of apps to view / manipulate / input data to the systems. These medical systems sell for over 100K a pop so a couple of $300 extras is nothing. Get people hooked on the idea of medical tablets, bring the tablet into the mainstream of electronic medical records (EHR).
One of the big hangups in EHRs (as far as clinicians ar
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You're forgetting app sales. The standard model for this kind of device is to charge 30% for the app sales. HP actually has quite a nice model for selling unapproved apps too. They do the same sort of vetting as Apple for the store, but if they reject your app (or you don't want to go through the approvals process) then they will still sell it. They'll put it in a part of the store that can't be found by searching or browsing and give you a URL. You can then publish the URL on your own site and WebOS d
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This is why Apple hyped the hell out of the first iPhones and iPads and why Microsoft licensed DOS (and, later, Windows) to anyone who wanted it for a relatively low price.
No, it's not. The first iPhones were supposed to use only webapps. Only after much nerdrage and gnashing of teeth did they relent and open up the API, create the appstore, etc.
Now, your analysis of the iPad may be correct. By then apps were expected.
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Yes, but you're reasons seem more consumer oriented ("reduction in quality and an increase in prices"). One thing Steve Jobs set out in Apple when he took it over is to only make things that turn a profit (that's why he cut a ton of lines).
The Japanese had a mentality of a "market share uber alles", and that was fine for taking over the American steel industry when they didn't care about the low margin rebar market or the subcompact cars in the 60s/70s. And it worked there as they worked themselves up th
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"...that's why he cut a ton of lines..."
He did. But there are also plenty of iPod nanos out there in multiple colors and RAM sizes. And shuffles. And iPods. And Touch's. There's a white and a black iPhone, on two different systems (GSM/CDMA), each with 8/16/32 GB of RAM.
People carry the simplification metaphor too far. Steve is not afraid of SKUs.
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It would seem like Marketing 101, but it's not.
Case in point, Logitech's Trackman series of trackballs. They only sell a single cordless variety now, but the Marble FX+ and the successor now sell used for what they used to sell new for. The FX+ has been discontinued for nearly 10 years and they still sell for the new price when they come up on eBay. New ones sell for double what they did when they were still being manufactured, if you can actually find one still in the box.
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I've looked for completed sales on eBay, and it seems that more than a 100 of them sold for $400 and up! Almost a thousand sold for $200 and up. And they still keep on selling between $200 and $300. It seems that HP just doesn't know how to do marketing.
Return of Dotcom accounting? (Score:3)
Is this the return of Dotcom accounting?
Sell at a loss, make up in volume?
If I had to guess... (Score:5, Informative)
If I had to guess, it's probably because they already have orders in with their suppliers that they can't cancel and contractual obligations to fulfill. The costs of making this final run are probably sunk costs, and they figured they might as well go ahead and make those last $99 sales before everything is shut down and done.
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Maybe something like that. I got the feeling they are trying to expand the user base to increase the value of the WebOS division when they sell it off. I don't know how any increase in value would make up for the money they are losing on the hardware.
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This is the Prius model (Score:2)
Is this the return of Dotcom accounting? Sell at a loss, make up in volume?
Almost. I think it's the model Toyota used to create a market for hybrids before the battery technology was affordable: sell at a loss to build a base of loyal supporters who can recognize a superior product. Though in some ways, this is the opposite; rather than heralding the future, this is more akin to exploring the past (which is to say, what could have been). I'd definitely call this a stunt; why else would they make another run at something they're selling at a loss anyway? Why was the HP Pre 3 de
Volume? (Score:2)
Profit!!!
"Surprised?" (Score:2)
'I think it's safe to say we were pleasantly surprised by the response' to their massively discounted, sold-at-a-huge-loss tablet."
All I have to say is: really? Wow, and to think I was surprised the HP tablet failed... actually, I wasn't but oh well.
On the other hand, the fact that they are doing another manufacturing run indicates that the first was probably profitable even at the reduced price (why the hell else would you make more?), meaning HP probably made up in quantity for the lowered price. Also, maybe tablet makers should consider lowering their prices. Just, you know, a thought.
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Yeah, this doesn't make sense. If they are not making profit on the $99 sales... why make more (the way it reads is that they are making more...) Liquidating parts? Tax write off?
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Probably liquidating parts they already have in stock or may not already have in stock but are contractually obligated to buy (e.g. long-lead items they already ordered to support production.)
Sometimes it pays to invest (Score:4, Interesting)
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I don't believe HP or any of these other tablet makes make enough from their App stores to keep them afloat.
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You have that exactly backwards.
The App Store (and music store) exist to drive hardware sales. The vast, vast bulk of Apple's profits are from hardware. The App Store and Music Store are weakly profitable for them (it's running a little over break even).
The App Store is very profitable for the developers of apps though (2.5 billion dollars in revenue paid out to third party developers since launch).
No, they MAKE very little. (Score:2)
err apple and google make BILLIONS on app stores.
No, they don't. There is a large amount of revenue but also a large amount of expenses. I think they total they MAKE is more like a hundred million - still quite a lot but not the billions that are spent in the app store.
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But did MS ever EOL the XBOX and cut it to the price of the packaging just to boost market share?
And then make more of them, even though the cost of the parts is 3X the price they're asking?
HP is one fucked-up company. The only way this makes sense is if this "one more run" is to avoid an inventory sale of parts they'd have to sell by the pound as they wouldn't fit anything else. They're going to have to charge the revenue against the writeoff.
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Microsoft had already lost $4B on the XBox by 2005, and lost another $1B over the poor quality of the XBox 360 ('red ring of death' etc.) just in 2007. Checkout the Xbox 360 [wikipedia.org] wiki page. They may never recoup that investment. Suggesting HP should follow their example is not such a great idea.
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But did Xbox ever turn a profit for MS yet?
Just breaking even for HP isn't good enough, when you figure warranty servicing and R&D going forward.
Just having market share in something doesn't mean much if it cannot be leveraged into profit.
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"Once the established leader has been displaced"
Apple has already sold 29 million iPads, and analysts are predicting that will likely at least double through the end of the year. So if you take a conservative number like 50 million, and you lose $100 on each sale, you just sunk 5 billion before making any money. And that is a stationary target, and iPad sales are certainly not stationary.
No problem, HP has like 13 billion in cash. Oh wait, they just spent most of it buying a software company, perhaps ev
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That's something that's called "predatory pricing". There are laws against it in the United States... not that they ever get enforced.
Of course there's a huge gap between what HP did ("If we build it they will come") and sinking a fortune into predatory pricing to kill off competitors. HP's execs apparently didn't have a clue where they should have gone within that range.
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Total running expenditures are in excess of 5 billion dollars. On the upside they made a couple million dollars each of the last few quarters and they might just pay back that investment in 50-100 years depending on how frequently they want to spend $2+ billion to sell a new console version.
In all seriousness, the XBox has been a colossal money sink for MS and likely will never ever return the money invested. On the upside they used th
What's wrong with HP (Score:2)
So, HP is making another batch of Touchpads, after already announcing that they were being discontinued. The 'overwhelming demand' is based on the $99 'firesale' price, which leads us to assume they were being sold at a significant loss. A few possible conclusions:
1.) HP was marking up their hardware costs by an astronomical percentage. If they are putting more touchpads into production, and planning on selling them at or near the closeout price, that must mean they still see room for profit to be made (
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It's actually all part of a carefully planned, coherent strategy:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111904787404576535211589514334.html [wsj.com]
Re:What's wrong with HP (Score:4, Insightful)
Or 4) They liquidated their assembled units but still had remaining parts not usable for anything else. To liquidate said parts, it's easier to sell assembled units at well below cost than to try and sell the parts piecemeal.
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4. HP already had orders with various suppliers to deliver X number of touchpad components, those orders have not been filled completely. The money is spent, they can sell the stuff to some surplus dealer by weight for pennies on the dollar, pay more to dispose of it, or assemble them and sell them as touchpads for dimes on the dollar + some good will.
I'd sure go with option 4 if I were management at HP
Non standard screen (Score:2)
Nobody else has a 9.7 in screen, so they can't sell the surplus screens to some other tablet manufacturer, They probably thought of dumping them, but they are probably chemically hazardous so that would cost them money. (These days you can't get away with dumping PCB's (printed circuit boards) into a landfill...
Marketing Ploy? (Score:2)
I can't wait (Score:2)
I actually really wanted one, strictly for web browsing. I don't care if it won't have apps or support in the future, though the projects going around to put Android on them will certainly add value to something I only wanted to a browser anyway.
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I actually really wanted one, strictly for web browsing. I don't care if it won't have apps or support in the future, though the projects going around to put Android on them will certainly add value to something I only wanted to a browser anyway.
Mod up. This is precisely what the manufacturers are missing, including Apple. A tablet that does web and NOTHING ELSE would still compete very well against a tablet that cooks you breakfast. And this web surfing tablet could replace the computers of millions of people that never do anything else but www and webmail. It is insane that competitors allowed Apple to be the only light tablet on the market for so long... I can't believe that Microsoft didn't at least rush something out the door that was half-bak
Hm... (Score:2)
If they're making more in order to keep selling them at the promotion price, then it sounds as though they're still making a profit at that price. Why would they stop?
(Unless this whole thing was just a marketing ploy to stimulate demand.)
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I doubt they're making a decent profit on them. I think this has more to do with various stock parts they have to make them with and also good faith for those who wanted one but missed the sale.
To be honest I'm quite upset they no longer have the "notify me" link on the product page anymore. I was considering putting myself on said list but since this was merely to get rid of stock I "knew" they weren't going to have more. Now I'll have to be even more diligent because those who requested notifications are
Is there a lesson here? (Score:2)
I've been under the layman's impression that electronics are priced on the low-volume for X profits side as opposed to the high-volume for X profits side of the curve. Does this indicate that maybe that isn't such a good economic model, or is this a fluke case were demand will quickly evaporate?
I also want one, don't know why (Score:2)
At that price point, it's worth the risk to see if I can find good use cases for myself. Experimenting with this technology at $400 is a non-starter.
Preorder? (Score:2)
Waitaminute (Score:2)
So the supposedly sell them at a big loss, yet they decided to make more of them? Either they're crazy, or those things cost way less than $99 to make in volume, and since they don't have to support them at all, their overheads on those sales are negligible.
Perhaps HP has just found that there's big market for cheap, no-support, hackable computing devices? Sometimes opportunity may be staring you in the eyes and you can miss it!
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By making more until their parts inventory runs out, they can get rid of their otherwise useless parts inventory for only a 70% loss instead of a 95% loss. The cost of the parts to HP was likely more than half of the initial $300 price for the tablet. At the same time it makes a bunch of new customers happy who are now much more likely to buy other products on which HP actually makes money. These new customers are disproportionately of the type that has a great deal of influence over tech buying decisions b
Price point (Score:4, Informative)
If you want to see what sort of price the market has set, go onto eBay. The 16GB version is selling.. and I mean with real bidders.. at about £200 ($325), with the 32GB version coming in at around £230 ($370). So this is perhaps the sort of price point they should have been selling at.
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The 16GB version is selling... at about £200 ($325), with the 32GB version coming in at around £230 ($370). So this is perhaps the sort of price point they should have been selling at.
Except that the parts cost alone is higher than those price points. Unfortunately you can't compete with apple at a loss. Even if you only lose $100 a machine it will cost you $2 billion just to catch up with Apple's current sales numbers. And if Apple decides to price match you you are screwed in all sorts of unpleasant ways.
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Prices are only high on eBay because there are a handful of people who really want one of these things, and there's a very limited supply available. I doubt they would sell at $325 on the open market. It's too close to the used iPad price for first-generation devices of similar size, and the iPad actually has a large and vibrant developer community producing apps for it....
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LoB
How HP can revive the Touchpad (Score:2)
HP could keep Touchpads flying off shelves even at a more reasonable (to them) price point. All they need to do is take a note from Apple and include a bootcamp-like installable option for Android. Mac sales went through the roof when people realized they could always fall back to Windows if they didn't like OS X and at least they would have still have a rad computer. HP should use the same strategy to attract users to the Touchpad and get them using and hooked on WebOS.
That's why I didn't buy a touchpad at
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I think it was because Apple switched to Intel, not because people could install Windows on it.
Inmates running asylum? (Score:3)
First you announce the discontinuation of the product you just brought out, so abruptly that the ads for them continue to run for another day or two, and institute a huge price cut (which means anyone who bought one at full price the week before will be an active HP hater for the rest of their lives), then, as people rush to buy them, you tell Best Buy to pull all their stock and ship it back, then you announce that you're going to build more of them.
Do they now have 3 or 4 different CEOs who take turns running the company every few days without ever talking to each other?
Re:Inmates running asylum? (Score:4, Informative)
If you had actually followed the news you would be aware that HP offered to refund the price difference to anyone that bought a touchpad after a certain date (IIRC it was July 15th, a month and half before the price cut if not the very day they went on sale). You could do it through the retailer or directly through HP. It was a very fair offer IMO.
This is really bad for non-Apple tablets (Score:2)
Anyone going to get an iPad is just going to get one.
But lets say you had been thinking about ANY alternative tablet. Why would you get one now, when there's a possibility in a few months you can get a $500 tablet for $99?
I'd almost think HP had been taken over by Apple, but I'm pretty sure they are just basically insane. It make no sense for HP to spend one dime more when they loose a LOT of money per tablet sold.
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Actually I (and my wife) find a tablet really useful. Especially so when traveling, but at home it makes a great replacement for a laptop for a lot of things, the battery lasts way longer and it's much better sealed for kitchen use.
If you think Apple has sold some 30 million iPads (and counting) and "has not come up with an answer", you might want to re-think your idea of what an answer might be.
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Its like games, only on the interwebs of fluff news.
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It's because the editor is just some random lamer...
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What benefit does it offer to the slashdot community as a whole?
learning about the community creates the community
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I think they're just trying to encourage more submissions.
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If you can make a device below cost, I think you've got something.
prior art (Score:2)
Someone should get hold of it RIGHT now and make a proper commitment to WebOS, and to making the devices *at* cost, or below if you can get the app model in working shape.
If you can make a device below cost, I think you've got something.
The underpants gnomes want HP to give their ???? back.
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You missed AC's point. The deal is about breaking into the market. If you have cash to burn, why not waste a $0.1B or so just to get your foot into the market by selling below cost? While doing that, you can bootstrap the app and "fan" markets, and work on cost-optimized ver.2.
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Thing is, this device just can't be sold for anything less than $200, even at a nominal parts + labor + packaging accounting of cost. How big is the market at that price? A lot smaller than at $100. And they really need more than that to break even after design, support etc. are covered. HP needs to re-run the numbers again to see if the loss-leader inadvertent investment in market share has changed the playing field enough to try doing a low-end tablet, but I wouldn't be surprised if the answer turned ou
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"Someone should get hold of it RIGHT now and make a proper commitment to WebOS, and to making the devices *at* cost..."
At cost is $318. Well, $328 if you add in labor. And then there's shipping from China. Oh, and last time I checked, stuff on the retailer's shelf came in boxes. So add in packaging costs, manual, printing, etc.. Don't forget the cable and charger. Where are we? Oh, yeah, around $350 at the distributor and/or retailer. Retailer? How did I forget that one? Add 10% or so markup just for puttin
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I see through your transparent attempt to trade for my CueCat. I'm not falling for it.
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I'll trade you my Flooz and Beanz for your CueCat...
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Pass.
At $100, I'd consider buying one just to mess around with it, run Linux on it, maybe use it as a MythTV front end or something. I know it would be completely unsupported, but at a hundred bucks, it's a small enough amount of money that I wouldn't be too horrified if I wasn't able to do anything interesting with it besides sell it on eBay at a loss in a year or two.
At $200, you're approaching two-thirds the price of a used first-generation iPad, which (unlike the TouchPad) is likely to still be support
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Sure wish they were dual core Nvidia Tegra chips though but at $99 they still beat the plain old $149 Beagleboard. I may have to get one or two and use them for a monitoring panel or something like that.
LoB
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