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99.6 Percent of New Smartphones Run Android or iOS (theverge.com) 91

The latest smartphone figures from Gartner show how much iOS and Android are dominating the smartphone market. According to the report, Android and iOS accounted for 99.6 percent of all smartphone sales in the fourth quarter of 2016. For comparison, this figure was 96.8 percent in the second quarter of 2015. The Verge reports: Of the 432 million smartphones sold in the last quarter, 352 million ran Android (81.7 percent) and 77 million ran iOS (17.9 percent), but what happened to the other players? Well, in the same quarter, Windows Phone managed to round up 0.3 percent of the market, while BlackBerry was reduced to a rounding error. The once-great firm sold just over 200,000 units, amounting to 0.0 percent market share. It's worth noting that although, in retrospect, this state of affairs seems inescapable, for years analysts were predicting otherwise. Three years ago, Gartner said that Microsoft's mobile OS would overtake iOS for market share in 2017, while BlackBerry would still be hanging around as sizable (if small) player.
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99.6 Percent of New Smartphones Run Android or iOS

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  • Proves the worth of analysts. Gartner is just a Microsoft shill.

    • by jeremyp ( 130771 ) on Friday February 17, 2017 @09:09AM (#53885431) Homepage Journal

      It's only February, there is still time for Microsoft to overtake iOS in 2017.

      And now: unicorns!

    • by mwvdlee ( 775178 )

      The true value of Gartner is in giving clueless managers someone to blame for their bad decissions.
      Which is why these managers are willing to pay so much for their service.

    • by Luthair ( 847766 ) on Friday February 17, 2017 @09:28AM (#53885529)
      Basically the way Gartner works is they get paid to talk someone up. Think of them as an external PR department that has a tiny shred of credibility.
    • by rtb61 ( 674572 )

      To be fair, Gartner most probably had no idea at all about Windows anal probe 10 and M$ shooting itself in the foot and then sticking the bloody stump in it's mouth. You can not be 'cool' and sell into the consumer market with a accessory personal device whilst being seen as control freak perves wanting to control and pry into everyone's personal life. Windows watching you masturbate is not exactly the best way to sell a device that people will carry around with them. So basically smart phone forecast prior

      • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

        by Tom ( 822 )

        As much as I'd love for you to be right - MS has behaved like this for 20 years and they're still the dominant desktop OS.

        • As much as I'd love for you to be right - MS has behaved like this for 20 years and they're still the dominant desktop OS.

          They're the dominant desktop OS simply because of inertia and the large volume of software available. And that's the same reason Windows phones will never be able to break into the two-horse race between iOS and Android. There's no real software available for a Windows phone compared to the other platforms, and nobody in their right mind is going to develop for a platform that accounts for 3/1000ths of the phones out there. Worse yet, when someone has a market share that low you have to wonder who the sc

          • But how much of the stuff you run on your smartphone is anything that isn't, at root, either a glorified web browser or a basic function (like texting, calling, or camera)? The only piece of software I regularly run on mine that isn't in that category is a calculator app.
            • by Tom ( 822 )

              games

              • Yeah, I don't run any of those. My phone is a critical part of my job. Battery life is #1. I'll do a little music stuff, but the screen stays off unless I need it on.
      • by Kjella ( 173770 )

        M$ is pretty much killing itself in the consumer market and is rapidly reaching the point of no return and perhaps even crossed over.

        Windows (all versions): 85% and stable
        OS X: 11%
        Linux: 1.5%
        Misc (possibly mis-ID as desktop): 2.5%

        One third of the 85% above is now using Win10. Half the gamers on Steam now run Win10. With Ryzen and Kaby Lake there is no Win7 support. Sorry to disappoint you, but even as people are holding on to Win7 there zero evidence of any migration away. When push comes to shove I imagine most will begrudgingly upgrade like they did with WinXP.

        • by donaldm ( 919619 )

          M$ is pretty much killing itself in the consumer market and is rapidly reaching the point of no return and perhaps even crossed over.

          Windows (all versions): 85% and stable
          OS X: 11%
          Linux: 1.5%
          Misc (possibly mis-ID as desktop): 2.5%

          Not sure where you got those figures. Linux Desktop Market share [netmarketshare.com] is now at 2.27%. Not huge but definitely increasing.

          One third of the 85% above is now using Win10. Half the gamers on Steam now run Win10. With Ryzen and Kaby Lake there is no Win7 support. Sorry to disappoint you, but even as people are holding on to Win7 there zero evidence of any migration away. When push comes to shove I imagine most will begrudgingly upgrade like they did with WinXP.

          Again I will refer you to the URL. Windows 10 is approx 25.3% with Windows 7 approximately 47.2% and surprisingly Windows XP at 9.17%. Even Windows 8.1 is at 6.9% so that tells you how popular Windows 10 is, although as people throw away their old windows machines and purchase new ones then Windows 10 market share will increase.

          In the motherboard BIOS there is an option for "Other OS" and

          • by Kjella ( 173770 )

            http://gs.statcounter.com/os-m... [statcounter.com]
            http://gs.statcounter.com/os-v... [statcounter.com]
            http://store.steampowered.com/... [steampowered.com]

            As far as PC games go, Microsoft Windows dominates although if you go to Steam and look at the number of games available for Linux and SteamOS there are over 5,000 and some are AAA. Good luck finding the time to play them all.

            And yet the trend is backwards towards less Linux users... Linux used to have something like 1% when SteamOS was being hyped, today it's at 0.8%. You keep talking it up, I'm telling you users aren't buying it.

            In the motherboard BIOS there is an option for "Other OS" and I initially installed Fedora 24 (now 25) on the Z170 (takes Sky Lake) without any problems so I don't forsee any issues with the motherboards for Ryzen (when it comes out) or Kaby Lake which has the same LGA 1151 socket as Sky lake and will run on Z170, H170, B150 and H110 series motherboards

            Well except that AMD has explicitly said there won't be any chipset drivers for Ryzen on Win7. That Kaby Lake is supported is more of an accident because it's so similar to Skylake and even Skylake suppo

        • Yeah, I'm one of those that I'll upgrade bedrugingly when I have no other choice.
          Right now the only thing tying me to Windows is games. When there're a few games that I want to play that don't work on 7 or my new hardware doesn't I'll have to upgrade.
          Microsoft are not (that) stupid. They do this crap because they know they have people by the balls. Look at what happens whey they have competition: When the PS4 and XBone were shown Microsoft said theirs was to require online connectivity to play at all ti
    • To be fair, they weren't the only ones predicting this. I've seen Windows in action on phones and it looked pretty good. Coupled with cross-platform technology like Xamarin that lets you produce a Windows version of your app almost for free, I too believed that Windows would gain market share in the mobile market. It was too little too late though, Xamarin wasn't mature at the time and is still not widely used, and by the time some major apps started appearing on Windows, they had already become largely
      • Gartner was probably not the only company taking money for "market analysis" from Microsoft.

      • MS had the potential to increase their market share but I think their discarding of many of the positive aspects of WP8.x and failure to embrace Xamarin that primarily contributed to their loss of market share. When I get a new smart phone I'll be migrating from WP8 to Android. WP10 simply doesn't interest me.

      • I used a Lumia for well over a year, then switched to Android because of a required app. Yeah, I could keep both, but carry both every day? No, thanks. Honestly? I still miss the Lumia. For me it was much, much better in everyday use, the new one seems like a halfhearted attempt at making a mobile OS. Note: this should be surprising - the new phone is upper-mid range, the Lumia was low-end, plus I absolutely hate Windows 8/10 on desktop. Guess what, on a phone it's actually great, at least for some users, i

    • It's almost like Gartner and it's "Magic Quadrant" horseshit are up for the highest bidder.

      Oh wait, they always have been.

    • Proves the worth of analysts. Gartner is just a Microsoft shill.

      I'm assuming you're talking about Gartner's prediction that Windows Phone would overtake iPhone in 2015?

      Whilst analysts have a tendency to get very little right, in fairness to Gartner, they probably weren't expecting Microsoft to reboot the platform twice and, in both times, leave all their previous users high and dry on the old OS.

  • Blackberry OS is mostly dead, tizen and so on never really started and other custom OS run on phones which are not called smartphones.

    • by sconeu ( 64226 )

      In other news today...

      • * Water is wet
      • * The sky is blue (when it's not raining in So Cal)
      • * The Sun is hot
  • Its pretty clear from Gartner's predictions 3 years ago which company was paying them the most money among M$, Apple and others.

    Gartner's predictions eerily parallel the amount of money vendors pay them yet it never seems to matter to them or their customers that they are so consistently wrong.
  • That means a bunch of old people got duped into buying a cell with Windows Phone. Microsoft should be ashamed of themselves! ;)

  • Nobody except Gartner believes most of what they predict anyway. Did anyone really think that Microsofts n-th attempt to make a phone OS would be any more successful than the previous ones?

    I'm surprised that Blackberry fell so deep, because it still has a strong foothold in the finance and some other highly security-conscious industries (military, etc.) and some of its security features are still unique.

    • by dbIII ( 701233 )
      Blackberry decided they could get away with cutting back on R&D when things were lean and bring it back later. There was no later. A product that has mostly been unchanged for years appears to be very unattractive in the smartphone sector.
    • by dj245 ( 732906 )

      Nobody except Gartner believes most of what they predict anyway. Did anyone really think that Microsofts n-th attempt to make a phone OS would be any more successful than the previous ones?

      One has to admit the possibility is there. Smartphones have already displaced standalone GPS devices and the majority of consumer cameras. Current smartphones are powerful enough to be most people's computer, TV media frontend, etc. Most personal computers still run Windows. If Microsoft could displace TV set top boxes and computers using a phone-sized device, they could potentially be very successful. Granted, that's a big "if", but it could be done if they got their product development and marketing w

      • by Tom ( 822 )

        One has to admit the possibility is there.

        Mathematically, yes. Realistically, you would have to be a complete idiot to bet money on it.

        The one area that MS consistently fails in, for all its existence, is usability. Everything they make has always been just barely usable. Their interface design is inconsistent, constantly changing and at best tolerable. But for a small screen on a phone, the interface is the king. It is the one thing you have to get right.

  • The best way to be within the 0.1% ;-)
    On top of a Fairphone hardware for instance...

  • If 432 million smart phones are sold per quarter that is 1.6 billion per year. One group predicts around 4.77 billion cell phone users by the end of 2017 [statista.com], though that includes both smart phones and less sophisticated phones. If we said that half of those phones are smart that means the number of smart phones is somewhere around 2.4 billion. We already know we are closing in on saturation as the remainder of the world's ~6.8 billion people are not necessarily potential customers for cell service.

    So if 1.6 billion of the 2.4 billion smart phones in use today were purchased in the past year, does that suggest that on average over half the world's smart phones last under a year?
    • So if 1.6 billion of the 2.4 billion smart phones in use today were purchased in the past year, does that suggest that on average over half the world's smart phones last under a year?

      Yes.

    • The vast majority of them got replaced because the new version got released.
      Me I keep my phones as long as they work. The last one worked for 3'5 years until the Wifi started working intermittently
  • ...I hope that we can come together and agree that it's sad and hilarious that companies like Gartner exist and consistently make such completely asinine predictions about anything at all.

    Every year some analyst predicts something absolutely stupid that all of us know is impossible. I hope whoever made this call knows that they are bad and they should feel bad.

  • No love for my JAVA OS run phone?

The hardest part of climbing the ladder of success is getting through the crowd at the bottom.

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