No Verizon Partnership For Google's Nexus One 206
starglider29a writes with news that Google and Verizon Wireless have abandoned plans for a partnership that would bring the Nexus One to the carrier's network. "Without a Verizon partnership, Google loses access to the carrier's more than 90 million customers, potentially blocking the phone from gaining more widespread popularity. The breakdown of the deal signals Verizon may view Google as a competitor rather than a partner when it comes to Nexus One sales, which are probably at less than half a million since the phone's January debut, said BGC Partners's Colin Gillis." A Google spokesman said, "We won't be selling a Nexus One with Verizon and this is a reflection of the amazing innovation happening across the open Android ecosystem." In a brief blog post, Google recommends a similar, Android-based phone from HTC for customers who want Verizon service.
A big flop (Score:4, Insightful)
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Google's idea was great, but it doesn't work in the current carrier-controlled (and I don't mean this in a conspiracy-theorist way) market. The phone is just too expensive up front to compare with carrier-sponsored models that get their price dilluted into your monthly service payments.
Their price isn't really that diluted. AT&T for example requires all phones with a full keyboard or that are otherwise considered a smart phone (e.g. iPhone, NexusOne, etc.) to have a data plan. You may be paying $199 for that iPhone up front, but you'll also be paying $30/month for 2 years. Now some phones you can cancel the data plan, but when varies from phone to phone. iPhone requires it at all times (so 2 years, 3 * 24 - $720 later). Some may be as little as 6 months, and may only require the $5/mo
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Be careful, I got an unlocked Nexus One (before the AT&T model was available) and used it with my previously existing AT&T plan, and they were able to detect right away that I was using a smartphone and I was informed via SMS that I needed to pay for the data plan.
You may or may not be able to actually stop the phone from trying to access mobile data - there isn't an option in the settings to disable it. I'm sure there is away around that, but it probably won't be simple and probably will require ro
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The whole practice of tying phone subsidies to service contracts needs to end. It should be illegal across the board. It gives far too much control over the network and innovation to a few very large companies and really makes it a lot more difficult for new handset manufacturers to enter the market.
From a consumer fairness perspective, it's a win here also. Right now, carriers do not give you a discount if you provide the handset. They charge the same, whether they give you a branded phone for $30 or you p
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It should be illegal?
I'd rather the government not control business that much.
Google and T-Mobile are offering an altnerative model here where you pay full price for the phone, and then get a discount on your phone plan since you're not paying to subsidize the cost of the phone. If T-Mobile's network didn't suck so much, I'd be interested.
Verizon is passing on the Nexus, not because it is a bad phone, but rather because they don't want to open the door to this new business model. For instance, what happens
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Verizon wants no part of [service plan discounts for bringing your own phone]. I can understand why consumers are upset. But let consumers vote with their wallets rather that over-regulate with Congress.
Congress is already regulating by allocating spectrum through the FCC.
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Sure, you'd rather the unelected, rapacious telecom giants collude and control your experience (and wallet) instead. I love you libertarians, who would rather the fascist corporate control over the government boogeyman.
Yay for freedom! (offer valid only for large corporations)
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And how will customers vote with their wallets when the only option, as you say, has a network that "sucks so much"? At this point it's not likely that another company can get into the cell phone business, not with the infrastructure cost that the other providers (yes, built to an extent with government money) have already recovered.
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Re:A big flop (Score:4, Informative)
That's not Google's idea. That is AT&T's idea.
If you buy a Nexus One and sign up with T-Mobile, you get a discount on your monthly rate since you're not subsidizing a phone.
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I guess, if you absolutely cannot wait until your contract is up, then yes, you have to buy an unlocked phone. On the other hand, if you are close enough to the end of your contract, you are generally better off just paying the $75 early upgrade fee and getting a subsidized device.
WRT "freeing the device from the carrier" that is all and well, but you aren't describing the Nexus One. You can buy the T-Mobile one, or you can buy the AT&T one. And then you're stuck with that carrier (as long as you want
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I'm not sure it was a flop. Did Google make money on it? Did they get new customers onto the Android bandwagon?
Then, there's the other perspective. I just got one, my dad got one, and my brother is considering one too. It's cheaper over the lifetime of a 2-year contract than a subsidized phone. I'm not tied into a contract with T-mobile, and the price is reasonable. The phone works well and synchs with my google contacts, mail, calendar... And if I want, I can change phones whenever I feel like upgrad
Any other carriers with a BYOP discount? (Score:2)
I'm not tied into a contract with T-mobile
What other carrier does your phone work on? Are there any carriers operating in the U.S. other than T-Mobile that offer a discount for bringing your own handset? You're just less tied to T-Mobile.
Re:A big flop (Score:5, Insightful)
The problem is that you don't get the advantage of having an unlocked phone, which ought to be portability.
The ideal situation for me would be a world in which I buy my phone, and sign up for monthly service with my carrier. If the carrier sucks, I can cancel my service and go to another one without paying any penalties.
That doesn't work for lots of reasons. Some of those reasons seem to be policies that deliberately create lock-in (termination fees, even if you buy a phone for $579!), and other reasons seem to be reasonable technical realities (T-Mobile and Sprint use different kinds of networks).
The government has imposed number portability on the carriers, and that works well when your contract is up. But we still live in this 2 year contract/carrier subsidized phones/early termination fees universe.
I get dropped calls on my iPhone every day, too. And it would cost me a fortune to leave.
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Don't you mean "The ideal situation for me would be a country in which I ... But we still live in this 2 year contract/carrier subsidized phones/early termination fees country."?
Immigration (Score:3, Insightful)
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A real-world example to support your "a big flop" argument:
My wife & I were shopping for smartphones and it came down to the Nexus One vs. the Motorola Droid. We already had T-Mobile service. Using the discount for new members and the cheapest two-year data+phone contract T-Mobile offered, the total two-year amount was cheaper than if I had purchased the unlocked phones and used T-Mobile's month-to-month plan for 2 years. Of course, we were ineligible for the new customer price, and T-Mobile could/wo
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Re:A big flop (Score:5, Insightful)
I don't think the success or failure of the effort depends really depends on how many Nexus One phones get sold. Google isn't trying to compete with Apple as a phone manufacturer, they are trying to prevent any one company -- whether its Apple, RIM, or anyone else -- completely dominating the smartphone market, because that's what keeps open, web-based services (like Google's) important for the smartphone platform, whereas if any single proprietary system dominated smartphones, that system's owner would be able to serve as a gatekeeper to services available on the platform, and that is a threat to Google's fundamental business model.
A number of Google offerings (notably, Android, Chrome browser, Chrome OS) aren't intended to dominate markets, they are intended to disrupt and prevent market dominance of closed platforms in their respective market. The Nexus One exists as part of that strategy for Android, and as long as it is drawing attention and serving as a tool to promote Android (even if most of the actual sales end up going to other Android phones), its working.
No shock there... (Score:5, Insightful)
The HTC Droid Incredible has a better reputation anyway: its faster, and has HTC's UI enhancements not present on the HTC Nexus One...
So why should Google put its name directly on an inferior phone through Verizon when there is a better HTC phone available soon on Verizon's network?
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I have a Droid because I need tethering over texting accuracy, and I need service reliability over ease-of-smartphone use. The Droid is good, but it's not polished. Not in a way the iPhone is. And 90% of the Market reviews are spam. Android has potential, but I miss the polish of the iPhone I had for a m
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I found iPhone 3Gs to be sluggish and painful to use, as compared side-by-side with the Nexus One on the same network. Once iPhone gets multitasking, it'll be a lot better.
No doubt Android needs more polish to get to where iPhone OS and WebOS are, but I'd take a small learning curve over lacking functionality, any day.
Droid is a nice device, but I don't like the keyboard. I have a personal preference for the Pre Plus.
It'll be nice to have some choices when the Incredible and the Evo 4G come out.
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Even more telling: Old droid was from motorola. New droid is from HTC. Motorola put all their chips on the droid. buh-bye!!!
Don't read too much in to that. The Droid Eris is HTC as well.
Re:No shock there... (Score:5, Informative)
There are only 2 things that you can argue that the Nexus is better than the Droid at. CPU speed, and Network. In every other realm, they are at best tied and at worst the Droid edges out the winner...
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Oh, you unenlightened person. N1 actually has the 802.11n chip inside it. It connects to 802.11n routers using 802.11n but only over 2.4GHz frequency. Still mine gets 150mbps router to phone. Was that news for you?
Oh you poor brainwashed person, do you really think that the carriers actually sell it to you at $99? Noooo.... They sell it to you at something over $2000. Once you calculate the TCO
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Re: Because on T-Mobile you don't... (Score:2)
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You could have just as easily written that without the snark, especially given that you had a few decent points in there.
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The biggest technical merit of the Nexus One over the Droid Incredible is the likelihood of continued updates to the android OS.
There's a huge hacker community right now that owns the Nexus One hardware. It's likely that we'll see continued support for a long time on this phone.
Re:No shock there... (Score:5, Insightful)
If you are more interested in Android as a platform rather then fixated on handset spec sheets (or engadget 'articles') the Droid is just not better enough to be interesting.
Nexus advantages:
* ROOT ACCESS INCLUDED. Sure, you can hack the Droid - but the manufacturer doesn't want you to own your device.
* The N1 is the current "reference" handset, meaning everything targets the N1 first and is well tested against it.
* You get your updates from Google, not whenever Verizon/Motorola get around to it.
* If you decide to get your updates elsewhere this is cool too, as your reference device will be compatible with any custom ROM you can find.
* It runs vanilla Android. Carrier/manufacturer embellishments are at best pretty; on average are broken; and at worst cause fragmentation.
For these reasons The N1 remains a compelling choice even against the new class of just-announced Android "super phone" devices, and will likely remain the smart choice for quite a while. The Droid is just another android phone.
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As for 802.11n, the Nexus one has the chip, in fact you can enable it if you install a firmware with the dr
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I don't think its any faster - its the same exact hardware (different display I'm told).
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That is the single problem with Android phones.
There is no consistent user Interface. HTC has one Interface, motoraola another, Google yet a third. how can droid hope to compete with the iphone if users can't expect the same interface on all models?
let alone some models have horrible interfaces which will put end users off on the entire line. you use a motorola droid and hate it. you will think twice about picking up an HTC android model even though the HTC is superior.
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how can droid hope to compete with the iphone if users can't expect the same interface on all models?
Why would users be bothered? It's not like they walk around juggling several phones. You usually have and use one at a time.
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how can droid hope to compete with the iphone if users can't expect the same interface on all models?
lol, wut? Because people are going to buy and use three phones simultaneously? Having different interfaces is better because it allows people to choose one that they find most comfortable. They're only going to be using that one interface for the entire time they have that phone. I don't see how that's complex. Yeah, went they want a new phone months/years down the line, then they might have to think about a different interface. Big deal.
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then why do so many people switch windows aero interface back to the windows classic? Why do so many people make linux look like windows?
if it isn't a big deal then why go through all that effort?
Re:No shock there... (Score:4, Insightful)
What choice do you have with the iPhone? None.
What choice do you get with Android phones? Several different interfaces.
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Its more like a reskinned ui - at least between HTC and Google's stock UI. The both operate very similarly.
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The problem with having a vendor-added enhancement like SenseUI is that it's vendor added. Any enhancements to Android have to be filtered through the vendor before you'll see the upgrade. Unfortunately, they're always developing new phones, moving on to bigger and better things, and may abandon or at least only pay partial attention to the phone you love. The Incredible is "The Shit" now, but what about when Android 2.2 comes out? What about 2.3? If HTC decides to call it a day, you're stuck with no recour
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The Incredible didn't exist at the time that Google puts its name on the Nexus One, so it wasn't really an option.
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That's the ticket here. The more manufacturers customize the OS, the slower and harder it will be to update to newer versions. It's a whole other layer that needs to be tested/redesigned. Right now, when the Droid gets updated, the only thing that really needs testing is the drivers. But with the Sense UI, the whole UI layer may break, so it requires significant developer time to adjust to the new OS. What this means for the end users is that instead of ge
Re:No shock there... (Score:4, Interesting)
Is HTC's UI really a plus? I didn't try it, but I think I trust google more than HTC (or motorola) to design an interface and support it for the future with updates.
HTC's interface is, surprisingly, much more fluid than Google's. A Droid Incredible (in my limited time with one) feels as smooth as an iPhone. The N1 doesn't...DROID DOES>?!
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Apparently you've not used an HTC (re)designed interface for a mobile phone.
Yeah, they have a concept of what it means to really use a phone, most days.
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Or turn it off, because, you can, you know.
Google (Score:3, Insightful)
What does Google think the Nexus One is it's version of the iPhone? I own a Nexus One and I love the device, but Google is being morons the way they are holding onto it. I should be able to call my carrier for support, especially since Google is absolutely clueless on how to give customer support.
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Why for are you beings a so mean?
Great! (Score:5, Insightful)
Basically they are reaffirming that Android is not to become a "hegemony". Google is there to provide only visionary products to push the manufacturers.
Google's Purpose with the Nexus One (Score:2, Insightful)
The Nexus One is not intended to be a phone for the masses. It was made as a proof of concept for the Android OS. It's purpose is to act as a standard reference point. Remember how over the last 2 years, every phone has been compared with the iPhone? Google's goal is to get everyone to compare new phones to the Nexus one. It is Google's goal for all Android phones to be AT LEAST AS GOOD as the Nexus One--the idea being that, "since the Nexus One is good, so this new Android phone must be great!" After a yea
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Yeah well, we'll see if it can put a dent in the iWhore's market share.
Shhh.....don't look now...... (Score:4, Interesting)
You know, there is another CDMA based major network carrier out there for the nexus one. One that doesn't care about using forcible sodomy to invoke tethering charges. One that could really stand to make a splash in the handset market, since the Palm Pre hasn't exactly set the world on fire.
Can we maybe mention Sprint [google.com] (and their current begging for a jumpstart stock price as the link shows) as a player? Sure, their network is closer to AT&T's that Verizon's in terms of quality (or lack thereof), but they're still alive and kicking. As a former Sprint customer, I can say with certainty that they're network is utter shit. However, if Verizon gets too complacent, they could well be staring down competition from a company that will gladly whore itself out to any handset maker that can give them back even a sliver of market share.
Re:Shhh.....don't look now...... (Score:4, Insightful)
As a former Sprint customer, I can say with certainty that they're network is utter shit.
You say SAY that all you want, but it just means you don't know what you're talking about. Network quality depends MIGHTILY upon where you are. In some places, Sprint is the best, in some, the worst. The exact same can be said of the other big three in the U.S. I went from Verizon to Sprint and my call quality went up, and I've never had a dropped call since, although that also depends partly on the handset you're using.
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>> In some places, Sprint is the best, in some, the worst. The exact same can be said of the other big three in the U.S.
> While I think you're right, I've yet to find a location where ATT is the best.
Okay, AT&T may be the exception. :)
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Sprint's already launching the EVO 4G [engadget.com], which should outdo the Nexus One.
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I've been a Virgin Mobile customer for five-six years, and have been very happy with Sprint's network. Were I to buy a smart phone, I'd either settle on an iPhone and piggy back on my wife's AT&T account or I'd buy an Android phone and go with Sprint.
Now that my iPod Touch is too old to get new firmware updates, I'm thinking about it...
With carriers it's always: YMMV (Score:2)
I've had Sprint since 2002 and a smartphone with them since '07. Their network has never failed me and I only ever seem to lose signal in areas you'd expect there to be none (I hike/camp in the middle of no where a lot).
Meanwhile I can't go a few days w/o hearing a coworker or friend bitch about AT&T's network (and these aren't just iPhone users).
This is why.... (Score:4, Informative)
...the iPhone is still not on Verizon, nor is it likely to be in the near future. Verizon, like Apple, is all about control. Verizon didn't like that Google wanted too much control over the Nexus One, so they canned it. Verizon initially didn't like Apple's terms for the iPhone, so they nixed that. Their position is unlikely to change anytime soon. Apple is going to want a king's ransom for the iPhone to be on Verizon, and Verizon will simply point to their increasingly successful Android lineup and tell Apple to try again next time.
This is a PR blow for Google, but a small one. Verizon is the leading carrier for Android phones, and the Droid Incridible is quite an impressive flagship device, just as the Motorola Droid was last year. Since HTC manufactures both the Nexus One and the Incredible, the deal failing is no skin off their back. Either way google wins, 'cos more Android smartphones will be sold either way.
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Yeah, because AT&T is not at all about control [androidguys.com]. A phone is as open as the phone company lets it be.
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"Either way google wins, 'cos more Android smartphones will be sold either way."
What does Google "win" from this?
I don't mean in the fanboy sense. I mean in the bottom line sense, what does Google get that they wouldn't get from an [iPhone, Blackberry, Nokia] smartphone?
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...the iPhone is still not on Verizon, nor is it likely to be in the near future. Verizon, like Apple, is all about control.
Of course, it has nothing to do with the fact that Verizon does not have a GSM network, meaning that Apple would have had to build two different models of iPhone--one for the US market and one for the rest of the world--and that iPhone users couldn't use their phones internationally if they chose. No, it must all be about control...
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Verizon is more about "Let's deploy a network that almost no one else in the world uses. (CDMA)". How many CDMA potential customers are there world wide versus GSM potential customers again?
This means the Nexus One is a success (Score:2)
I'm not certain Google ever truly wanted to be in the phone market. It makes sense for google to want a reference platform for their employees, for developers and to spur the market for the android PLATFORM (this is the key). But Google really isn't a hardware vendor.
When the Nexus One was released, the motorola droid wasn't out yet, the closest competitor to the iPhone on android was the mytouch 3g and HTC hero on sprint (i'm referring to US market not european market).
I don't know if the Nexus One actua
So much for changing the way phones are sold (Score:2)
I generally agree with what you are saying. I do think, however, this has all been a very illuminating experience with regards to how, when Google launched the Nexus One and their online phone store, they made loud proclamations about how they were going to change how phones were sold, how they were going to move the market towards a choose-a-phone, choose-a-carrier model where you basically got the phone, then used it on whichever mobile operator you wanted. As far as I know, the Nexus One only ever worked
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It's one out of dozens of Android phones, each model with it's own features and price ranges.
Steve Jobs has been quaking like a motherfucker (and not in the fun way) if the reports of his Google tantrums are true...
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I suggest you look at Apples sales numbers. I dboubt that Jobs is shaking at all.
Planning yes. Shaking I doubt it. It is hard to be terrified when your sales are up and you have Billions in the bank.
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Re:half a million? (Score:5, Funny)
The difference between 1-2:50 vs 4.1:11.5 is obvious to anybody with two brain cells to rub together, which explains why it escapes your understanding.
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There is more for apple to worry about than number of phones. Apple gets a monthly cut of revenue for each Iphone from AT&T, google doesn't. This was (IMHO) due to Apples superior marketing compared to every other phone supplier in the marketplace when they entered. Now enter the 1000lb marketing gorilla of Google, seams very unlikely for AT&T to do the math and say I can have Apple phone+Apple marketing for $400 up front + $15/month per device. While my competitors habe google phone+google mark
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bingo. Android marketshare is going way up, and all apple has is hype. Now that they've locked down the codebase, they're slowly bringing the DRM to the masses. Patent infringement lawsuits [pcworld.com] are a sure sign that apple knows they're fucked [techdirt.com] real soon.
Apple is a master of spin, not unlike MS, but when you try to bring policies like the RIAA (restrictions of what you can do with something you purchase) people are eventually going to adapt and just move on altogether.
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It's one out of dozens of Android phones, each model with it's own features and price ranges.
Steve Jobs has been quaking like a motherfucker (and not in the fun way) if the reports of his Google tantrums are true...
Contrary to common misconception here on Slashdot, iPhone far, far outsells *all* Android handsets combined.
One thing that people often bring up is Android's rate of market share growth, as though this growth is sustainable. The first problem is that such growth is, by its very nature, unsustainable. If it were, there would be trillions of Android phones in no time. The other problem is that few people look into the reason for the growth. With Droid, Nexus One, and Incredible, Android handsets are finally a
Re:half a million? (Score:4, Insightful)
Beyond that, you claim the growth is unsustainable. This is a relatively new and evolving market segment. A lot of share has been ceded to Google by MS and Palm, but so far only 'potential' share has come off of RIM and Apple. You think it's impossible for them to lose any ground? They can grow forever but Google can't even keep growing through the end of the year? I sense bias.
Oh and the Apple profits that you vaunt are a direct result of gouging the consumer. Margins like that can't proceed from high quality hardware. Apple sells mediocre crap and an image brand for heinous markup. Only so many people will be duped by that, which is why Apple has a completely flat line of market share in the computing world. They've been at 'around an 8% market share' for years .
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Huh. iPhone is the leader? I think maybe you should try explaining that to RIM. Their 40+% marketshare might disagree.
The context was between Android and Apple.
But even so, do you think RIM would not instantly jump at the chance to trade places with Apple?
You think it's impossible for them to lose any ground? They can grow forever but Google can't even keep growing through the end of the year? I sense bias.
Please cite where I said anything like that. I sense straw man.
Oh and the Apple profits that you vaunt are a direct result of gouging the consumer. Margins like that can't proceed from high quality hardware.
No, you have it exactly backwards. Margins like that can't proceed from crappy hardware. The margins on the low end are razor thin. That's why HP, Dell, and Acer (and sometimes Toshiba) sell more PCs than Apple, but make much less in profits. The bulk of those sales are on the low-end, low-margin segment of th
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That's a good counter argument, but nothing more. In summary: Apple is #1, android is gaining. Apple recognises it has competition, its negative statements about the android market reflect that. If you want to characterise that as quaking or not is a semantic argument best left to marketing types.
Now, what will the future hold? I don't know. You don't know. Apple and Google doesn't know. If you tried arguing with some one back in 1991 that Apple was going to end up on the brink of bankruptcy in six years a
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That's a good counter argument, but nothing more.
Well, shit, what more should I have been going for, exactly?
Apple is #1, android is gaining. Apple recognises it has competition, its negative statements about the android market reflect that. If you want to characterise that as quaking or not is a semantic argument best left to marketing types.
No, it's not semantics, it's downright false. You're correct that Apple faces competition from Android, but the notion that Steve Jobs is "Steve Jobs has been quaking like a motherfucker" is completely nonsensical, even with granting abundant leeway in the semantics of that phrase.
Now, what will the future hold? I don't know. You don't know. Apple and Google doesn't know.
I was talking about the present, and specifically how you can't simply extrapolate into the future.
If you tried arguing with some one back in 1991 that Apple was going to end up on the brink of bankruptcy in six years and would have to rely on Microsoft to prop them up
Apple was never close to bankruptcy, and MS never "propped them up". Ap
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It's one out of dozens of Android phones, each model with it's own features and price ranges.
Steve Jobs has been quaking like a motherfucker (and not in the fun way) if the reports of his Google tantrums are true...
In the smart phone market, companies like HTC and Motorola may see increased profits due to increased sales of Android phones, but each and every one of them would similarly trade places with Apple in a heartbeat if they could. If Android is bound to knock Apple off its perch, it's going to take many, many years.
So, do explain why you'd think that anyone in Apple's position would be "quaking"?
Personally, if I was going for the smartphone perch, I'd go after RIM...who is actually sitting on the perch with about 42% of the market. Apple? A healthy #2 with 25%. Google is up and coming at 9%, more than doubling their market share from Nov. '09 to Feb. '10. Out of RIM, Apple, Microsoft (looks like they had the lunch that Google ate), Google, and Palm, only RIM and Google gained in that time frame. Hastily searched source: http://techcrunch.com/2010/04/05/comscore-android-market-share-continues-t [techcrunch.com]
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Microsoft isn't a PC maker.
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You've got to be kidding me. Because he sat on the board in the past he's never allowed to build a competing device? What kind of twisted logic is that? Unless you're drinking the cool-aid enough to believe they violated Apple's IP, which from what I can tell is pretty ridiculous. Do you think he used insider information while on the board to design the product? The Android platform came out several years after iPhone, so I'm not seeing a big advantage here. No evil in my book, at least not for this.
T
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You've got to be kidding me. Because he sat on the board in the past he's never allowed to build a competing device?
I wouldn't go that far. However, he was still on the Apple board at the time Google introduced Android.
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It just reaffirms the parent post.
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Yep, Android has Apple quaking in its boots.
The Nexus one alone might not, but there are multiple other Android phones each with over a million sales. And, since you can get an Android phone for nearly every carrier, Google is capitalizing on a market that Apple is leaving behind.
Apple has (for all intents and purposes) one phone on one carrier. Google has many phones at various price points on many carriers. There's a big Android phone release more frequently than an iPhone release, meaning users are more likely to find one they want. Also, And
Re:half a million? (Score:4, Insightful)
Apple has (for all intents and purposes) one phone on one carrier.
Some of us [tesco.com] live [o2.co.uk] in [vodafone.co.uk] Europe [orange.co.uk], you insensitive clod!
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Apple has (for all intents and purposes) one phone on one carrier.
You do realize that the US isn't the entire world, right?
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Google has many phones at various price points on many carriers.
Google has one phone, sort of.
Also, Android (overall) sales may eclipse iPhone in the next 2 years.
Markets don't work like that. You can't just follow a trend line, then extend it two years into the future.
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Keep in mind, Android is not a phone. It's an operating system. In a greater scheme of things, consumers aren't buying Android. They're buying a Verizon smartphone or Motorola smartphone with their respective brands. So to say that "Android grew X % over Y period of time" is not really helpful for any meaningful metric.
iPhone is still the leader and will continue to be unless a strong competitor emerges out of the bunch and presents a unified front where they can clearly differentiate between devices.
Except for the fact that people, are in fact, buying Android phones. It doesn't matter if they buy from HTC or Motorola (or Samsung, etc.). They all plug in to the same software base and application market. When people buy an iPhone, they're not buying an AT&T phone. They're not buying an Apple phone. They're buying the iPhone that has access to the iPhone store.
Sure, the iPhone is all about unification. It is one device by one company (currently on one carrier). But that doesn't mean it's the on
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Re:Open? (Score:4, Informative)
Re:Open? (Score:5, Interesting)
Actually, I've come to the conclusion that they want Nexus one to fill a specific niche and to set a bar for the quality of what they expect out of other manufacturers, but they are not trying to actually take over the world or to really make a lot of money with it. The whole point of it is to inspire HTC and other vendors to come out with *better* phones than the N1 which sell *more* and therefore raise the quality of the whole ecosystem. If the N1 turns out to be just a minority player because all the other android phones are better then I think Google will consider it a success.
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJpEuMidcSU [youtube.com] - yes I know the N900 doesn't run Symbian, but the N97 has taught me a really important lesson about Nokia - never buy another Nokia for as long as I live.