Since he's on a twitch stream he knows people are watching him play, so for example he would not do something like instantly fold KK preflop when an opponent has AA (the only possible better hand) - if he did that it would be extremely obvious he magically knew another player had AA. Instead he'll make a small raise as expected, then when the player with AA raises he'll act like its a really difficult decision for him then throw his cards away.
The problem is that you need to be fairly competent at poker
The moment you know he's throwing away a pair of kings that still sounds like obvious cheating to me. If I was a cheating man I'd try to not let it affect my "positive" play at all, the strong hands I get I have to play like I would anyway. Maybe you could selectively slow play your hand to limit the pot size and hope an ace or straight/flush draw gives you an excuse to back down, but otherwise I'd have to eat the loss. My main game would be trying to steal extra pots when the opponent also doesn't have much, even if it's slightly better than mine because this would seem like winning mind games. If you steal a lot of pots it'd also invite aggressive reaction like he can't have a hand every time, letting you win some big hands when you do have cards because their range is too big. Throw in a few big "did he make the staight/flush" calls or laydowns - maybe intentionally lose a few if the pot is low to avoid making it obvious - and you should have a pretty subtle but effective winning strategy. This guy is simply way too much of a psychic to be believable.
So, to build a better cheat: why not build an automated system that actually feeds him bogus information some percentage of the time, to let him fully maximize his play, but keep the winnings statistically in check?
Just sayin'.
COMPASS [for the CDC-6000 series] is the sort of assembler one expects from
a corporation whose president codes in octal.
-- J.N. Gray
It's basically a certianty that he's cheating (Score:5, Informative)
The problem is that you need to be fairly competent at poker
Re:It's basically a certianty that he's cheating (Score:2)
The moment you know he's throwing away a pair of kings that still sounds like obvious cheating to me. If I was a cheating man I'd try to not let it affect my "positive" play at all, the strong hands I get I have to play like I would anyway. Maybe you could selectively slow play your hand to limit the pot size and hope an ace or straight/flush draw gives you an excuse to back down, but otherwise I'd have to eat the loss. My main game would be trying to steal extra pots when the opponent also doesn't have much, even if it's slightly better than mine because this would seem like winning mind games. If you steal a lot of pots it'd also invite aggressive reaction like he can't have a hand every time, letting you win some big hands when you do have cards because their range is too big. Throw in a few big "did he make the staight/flush" calls or laydowns - maybe intentionally lose a few if the pot is low to avoid making it obvious - and you should have a pretty subtle but effective winning strategy. This guy is simply way too much of a psychic to be believable.
Re: (Score:2)
So, to build a better cheat: why not build an automated system that actually feeds him bogus information some percentage of the time, to let him fully maximize his play, but keep the winnings statistically in check?
Just sayin'.